Paul Nunn

Dolly makes for Texas

Posted by Paul Nunn on Tuesday, July 22nd, 2008 at 11:29 am

 

Tropical Storm Dolly is heading for the Mexico \ Texas border this morning and has prompted a rash of evacuations of non-essential staff from offshore platforms (see here, here), although currently production is not expected to be affected. The National Hurricane Centre’s (NHC) central forecast is for landfall around Brownesville, TX although some models put Dolly closer to the larger city of Corpus Christi (Click here for link to Google Earth KML of track models).

For insurers with Offshore Energy interests, Watson Consulting produce a nice real-time kml view (here) showing estimated impact on overall offshore production and downtime for refineries.

As for intensity, Dolly is expected to reach hurricane Cat 1 before landfall, but unlikely to reach Major Hurricane status (Cat 3+).

 

 

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The Exposure Management team within Franchise Performance, is responsible for understanding and managing market aggregation of risks, and produce a number of tools and services to help the market.

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